PROPEDIA UFC
UFC Fight Night — Waldo Cortes Acosta vs Johnny Walker
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · Meta APEX · Las Vegas, NV · 14 fights · Main card 8:00 PM ET on Paramount+ · Moneylines: BestFightOdds
MAIN CARD · 8:00 PM ET
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Waldo CortesAcosta17-4-0-235
HEAVYWEIGHTMAIN EVENT5 rounds · 8:00 PM ET
JohnnyWalker23-10-0+180
Johnny Walker
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Acosta 67.1% · KO 58.9% · Dist 11.2%Full fight sim ↓ · ▶ Watch it play out
Tatiana Suarez
TatianaSuarez13-1-0-210
WOMEN'S STRAWWEIGHTCO-MAIN EVENT3 rounds · 8:00 PM ET
VirnaJandiroba23-4-0+165
Virna Jandiroba
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Suarez 68.9% · DEC 60.6% · Dist 80.2%Full fight sim ↓
Davey Grant
DaveyGrant18-8-0+235
BANTAMWEIGHTMAIN CARD3 rounds · 8:00 PM ET
ElijahSmith10-1-0-305
Elijah Smith
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Smith 63.6% · DEC 38.5% · Dist 67.8%Full fight sim ↓
Billy Elekana
BillyElekana10-2-0+235
LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHTMAIN CARD3 rounds · 8:00 PM ET
LucasFernando14-3-0-315
Lucas Fernando
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Fernando 64.6% · DEC 39.4% · Dist 56.5%Full fight sim ↓
Mitch Raposo
MitchRaposo11-3-0+190
FLYWEIGHTMAIN CARD3 rounds · 8:00 PM ET
MarcosDegli15-3-0-245
Marcos Degli
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Degli 66.8% · DEC 42.3% · Dist 68.2%Full fight sim ↓
Priscila Cachoeira
PriscilaCachoeira13-9-0+335
WOMEN'S BANTAMWEIGHTMAIN CARD3 rounds · 8:00 PM ET
NinaMilošević9-1-0-480
Nina Milošević
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Milošević 91.0% · KO 43.3% · Dist 43.4%Full fight sim ↓
PRELIMS · 5:00 PM ET
Seokhyeon Ko
SeokhyeonKo13-3-0-750
WELTERWEIGHTPRELIMS3 rounds · 5:00 PM ET
WellingtonTurman18-8-0+450
Wellington Turman
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Ko 75.1% · DEC 66.8% · Dist 81.2%Full fight sim ↓
Mantas Kondratavičius
MantasKondratavičius9-1-0-315
MIDDLEWEIGHTPRELIMS3 rounds · 5:00 PM ET
AndrePetroski13-7-0+240
Andre Petroski
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Kondratavičius 78.7% · DEC 53.8% · Dist 62.3%Full fight sim ↓
Gabriel Lorenço
GabrielLorenço8-1-0+140
HEAVYWEIGHTPRELIMS3 rounds · 5:00 PM ET
ThomasPetersen11-5-0-175
Thomas Petersen
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Lorenço 86.2% · KO 66.4% · Dist 25.1%Full fight sim ↓
Karine Silva
KarineSilva19-7-0-220
WOMEN'S FLYWEIGHTPRELIMS3 rounds · 5:00 PM ET
GabriellaFernandes11-4-0+170
Gabriella Fernandes
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Silva 64.4% · DEC 38.7% · Dist 65.8%Full fight sim ↓
Jose Delano
JoseDelano17-3-0-120
FEATHERWEIGHTPRELIMS3 rounds · 5:00 PM ET
MurtazaliMagomedov11-0-0-107
Murtazali Magomedov
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Magomedov 74.9% · SUB 33.4% · Dist 40.4%Full fight sim ↓
Keiichiro Nakamura
KeiichiroNakamura8-1-0-335
FEATHERWEIGHTPRELIMS3 rounds · 5:00 PM ET
OllieSchmid4-3-0+250
Ollie Schmid
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Nakamura 84.9% · DEC 50.9% · Dist 57.4%Full fight sim ↓
Austin Bashi
AustinBashi14-2-0-590
FEATHERWEIGHTPRELIMS3 rounds · 5:00 PM ET
CarlosCalderon11-4-0+400
Carlos Calderon
Jonny Parsons
JonnyParsons9-3-0+188
WELTERWEIGHTPRELIMS3 rounds · 5:00 PM ET
JoseHenrique9-1-0-240
Jose Henrique
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Parsons 49.2% · DEC 33.2% · Dist 68.5%Full fight sim ↓

Model Edges

Model v0 (stat-differential logistic, sample-shrunk) vs the no-vig market where a line is posted; model leans where it is not. Not backtested.
Murtazali Magomedov over Jose Delano
Model80.0%
Fight sim74.9%
Market-107
Edge+31.3 pts
Wellington Turman over Seokhyeon Ko
Model45.4%
Fight sim22.3%
Market+450
Edge+28.3 pts
Johnny Walker over Waldo Cortes Acosta
Model56.5%
Fight sim32.3%
Market+180
Edge+22.8 pts

Line Movement

BestFightOdds open vs current, tracked from our first snapshot.
FIGHT (SIDE)NOTEOPENNOW
Waldo Cortes-Acosta+6.6%-300-250 … -225
Johnny Walker-21.3%+247+175 … +198
Tatiana Suarez+0.8%-210-210 … -188
Virna Jandiroba-4.1%+177+150 … +175
Davey Grant+20.1%+175+235 … +254
Elijah Smith-7.4%-240-333 … -305
Seokhyeon Ko-14%-350-1115 … -649
Wellington Turman+37.6%+284+450 … +650
Billy Elekana+17.9%+189+235 … +280
Lucas Fernando-10.6%-225-345 … -315
Mantas Kondratavicius-45.5%-108-333 … -288
Andre Petroski+43.5%-108+235 … +250
Gabriel Lorenco+40.2%-230+130 … +145
Thomas Petersen-86.1%+193-177 … -170
Karine Silva+5.6%-275-230 … -220
Gabriella Fernandes-17.6%+228+170 … +191
Mitch Raposo-20.1%+247+175 … +200
Marcos Degli+6.3%-300-245 … -225
Jose Delano-23.9%+128-125 … -115
Murtazali Magomedov+15.4%-150-107 … +105
Keiichiro Nakamura-1.9%-325-375 … -335
Ollie Schmid+1.9%+265+250 … +291
Priscila Cachoeira+16.9%+284+335 … +400
Nina Milosevic-7.2%-350-550 … -480
Jonny Parsons+21.4%+132+184 … +212
Jose Souza-16.6%-155-255 … -230
Austin Bashi-16.4%-275-625 … -549
Carlos Calderon+36.3%+228+390 … +467

News Must-Check

Filled fight week from MMA Fighting / MMA Junkie weigh-in coverage and UFC.com card changes.
CHECKSTATUSSOURCE
Weigh-ins27 of 28 weighed in Fri Nov 6, no misses; Wellington Turman weight TBC at last check (1:35 PM ET)MMA Fighting / MMA Junkie
Layoff checkAcosta last fought at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado (56 days out); Walker at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang (35 days out)ESPN fighter histories
Card status14 fights as of Nov 6, 2026 — late replacements re-run the model, sims and faces automaticallyESPN card / UFC.com

Sources: ESPN (card, records, headshots) · UFCStats.com (career rates, bout history, round-by-round detail) · BestFightOdds (moneylines; fights without a posted line show “Lines coming soon”). Model and sim outputs are research tools, not betting advice.