PROPEDIA UFC
UFC Fight Night — Waldo Cortes Acosta vs Johnny Walker
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · Meta APEX · Las Vegas, NV · 14 fights · Main card 8:00 PM ET on Paramount+ · Moneylines: BestFightOdds
MAIN CARD · 8:00 PM ET
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Waldo CortesAcosta17-4-0-235
HEAVYWEIGHTMAIN EVENT5 rounds · 8:00 PM ET
JohnnyWalker23-10-0+180
Johnny Walker
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Acosta 67.1% · KO 58.9% · Dist 11.2%Full fight sim ↓ · ▶ Watch it play out
Tatiana Suarez
TatianaSuarez13-1-0-210
WOMEN'S STRAWWEIGHTCO-MAIN EVENT3 rounds · 8:00 PM ET
VirnaJandiroba23-4-0+165
Virna Jandiroba
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Suarez 68.9% · DEC 60.6% · Dist 80.2%Full fight sim ↓
Davey Grant
DaveyGrant18-8-0+235
BANTAMWEIGHTMAIN CARD3 rounds · 8:00 PM ET
ElijahSmith10-1-0-305
Elijah Smith
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Smith 63.6% · DEC 38.5% · Dist 67.8%Full fight sim ↓
Seokhyeon Ko
SeokhyeonKo13-3-0-800
WELTERWEIGHTMAIN CARD3 rounds · 8:00 PM ET
WellingtonTurman18-8-0+450
Wellington Turman
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Ko 75.1% · DEC 66.8% · Dist 81.2%Full fight sim ↓
Billy Elekana
BillyElekana10-2-0+235
LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHTMAIN CARD3 rounds · 8:00 PM ET
LucasFernando14-3-0-315
Lucas Fernando
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Fernando 64.6% · DEC 39.4% · Dist 56.5%Full fight sim ↓
Mantas Kondratavičius
MantasKondratavičius9-1-0-315
MIDDLEWEIGHTMAIN CARD3 rounds · 8:00 PM ET
AndrePetroski13-7-0+240
Andre Petroski
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Kondratavičius 78.7% · DEC 53.8% · Dist 62.3%Full fight sim ↓
PRELIMS · 5:00 PM ET
Gabriel Lorenço
GabrielLorenço8-1-0+145
HEAVYWEIGHTPRELIMS3 rounds · 5:00 PM ET
ThomasPetersen11-5-0-177
Thomas Petersen
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Lorenço 86.2% · KO 66.4% · Dist 25.1%Full fight sim ↓
Karine Silva
KarineSilva19-7-0-220
WOMEN'S FLYWEIGHTPRELIMS3 rounds · 5:00 PM ET
GabriellaFernandes11-4-0+170
Gabriella Fernandes
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Silva 64.4% · DEC 38.7% · Dist 65.8%Full fight sim ↓
Mitch Raposo
MitchRaposo11-3-0+190
FLYWEIGHTPRELIMS3 rounds · 5:00 PM ET
MarcosDegli15-3-0-245
Marcos Degli
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Degli 66.8% · DEC 42.3% · Dist 68.2%Full fight sim ↓
Jose Delano
JoseDelano17-3-0-112
FEATHERWEIGHTPRELIMS3 rounds · 5:00 PM ET
MurtazaliMagomedov11-0-0-112
Murtazali Magomedov
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Magomedov 74.9% · SUB 33.4% · Dist 40.4%Full fight sim ↓
Keiichiro Nakamura
KeiichiroNakamura8-1-0-350
FEATHERWEIGHTPRELIMS3 rounds · 5:00 PM ET
OllieSchmid4-3-0+275
Ollie Schmid
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Nakamura 84.9% · DEC 50.9% · Dist 57.4%Full fight sim ↓
Austin Bashi
AustinBashi14-2-0Lines coming soon
FEATHERWEIGHTPRELIMS3 rounds · 5:00 PM ET
LucasBrennan11-3-0Lines coming soon
Lucas Brennan
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Bashi 72.1% · DEC 47.5% · Dist 65.4%Full fight sim ↓
Priscila Cachoeira
PriscilaCachoeira13-9-0+335
WOMEN'S BANTAMWEIGHTPRELIMS3 rounds · 5:00 PM ET
NinaMilošević9-1-0-480
Nina Milošević
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Milošević 91.0% · KO 43.3% · Dist 43.4%Full fight sim ↓
Jonny Parsons
JonnyParsons9-3-0Lines coming soon
WELTERWEIGHTPRELIMS3 rounds · 5:00 PM ET
JoseHenrique9-1-0Lines coming soon
Jose Henrique
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Parsons 49.2% · DEC 33.2% · Dist 68.5%Full fight sim ↓

Model Edges

Model v0 (stat-differential logistic, sample-shrunk) vs the no-vig market where a line is posted; model leans where it is not. Not backtested.
Murtazali Magomedov over Jose Delano
Model80.0%
Fight sim74.9%
Market-112
Edge+30.0 pts
Wellington Turman over Seokhyeon Ko
Model45.4%
Fight sim22.3%
Market+450
Edge+28.4 pts
Johnny Walker over Waldo Cortes Acosta
Model56.5%
Fight sim32.3%
Market+180
Edge+22.8 pts

Line Movement

BestFightOdds open vs current, tracked from our first snapshot.
FIGHT (SIDE)NOTEOPENNOW
Waldo Cortes-Acosta+6.5%-300-250 … -225
Johnny Walker-21.8%+247+175 … +197
Tatiana Suarez+0.6%-210-210 … -188
Virna Jandiroba-3.7%+177+150 … +180
Davey Grant+18.4%+175+210 … +262
Elijah Smith-6.8%-240-330 … -275
Seokhyeon Ko-14.4%-350-1115 … -649
Wellington Turman+38.4%+284+450 … +650
Billy Elekana+16%+189+235 … +265
Lucas Fernando-10.1%-225-333 … -300
Mantas Kondratavicius-45.3%-108-333 … -270
Andre Petroski+43%-108+224 … +250
Gabriel Lorenco+39.7%-230+130 … +145
Thomas Petersen-85.7%+193-177 … -166
Karine Silva+5.6%-275-230 … -220
Gabriella Fernandes-18%+228+170 … +193
Mitch Raposo-20.1%+247+175 … +200
Marcos Degli+6.1%-300-245 … -225
Jose Delano-21.5%+128-120 … -110
Murtazali Magomedov+13.1%-150-115 … +102
Keiichiro Nakamura-1.4%-325-390 … -315
Ollie Schmid0%+265+250 … +280
Priscila Cachoeira+15.2%+284+333 … +387
Nina Milosevic-6.7%-350-520 … -450

News Must-Check

Filled fight week from MMA Fighting / MMA Junkie weigh-in coverage and UFC.com card changes.
CHECKSTATUSSOURCE
Weigh-insFri Nov 6 — results land here fight week; a miss moves lines and the model noteMMA Fighting / MMA Junkie
Layoff checkAcosta last fought at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado (56 days out); Walker at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang (35 days out)ESPN fighter histories
Card status14 fights as of Nov 4, 2026 — late replacements re-run the model, sims and faces automaticallyESPN card / UFC.com

Sources: ESPN (card, records, headshots) · UFCStats.com (career rates, bout history, round-by-round detail) · BestFightOdds (moneylines; fights without a posted line show “Lines coming soon”). Model and sim outputs are research tools, not betting advice.